They said data sharing is opt-in, but one wonders how many researchers opted in, was there any sort of incentive pattern. the devil is in the details. But if you didn't go through this program and just downloaded Codex then sharing is opt-out.

The announcement specifically noted they used the latest checkpoint from a training run they starting 8/28. the training data cutoff would have been recent. if scientists didn't opt out, their data would be in there. Clearly there was recent training data from real mathematicians working on this sort of problem and potentially from the Buckmaster team if they ran Codex without opt-out.

OpenAI ends up looking like a giant research organization with unlimited compute that also happens to sell the tools scientists use—and can turn around and race those same scientists to publication. OpenAI makes it sound as if they wanted talks to avoid stomping on the smaller team’s result, but clearly that’s not what the other team thought or the way it played out. They come across as disingenuous and careless and too-clever-by-half.

It’s probably true that if the agents are this good, they wait a week and Anthropic scoops their result.

Anyway, scientists and others need to be careful about opting out, for sure. What does this mean for science, that you point your agent swarm at a Millennium Prize problem and get a result in a few days? Amodei’s prediction of 100 years of scientific progress in 10 years is looking more accurate.

Ask your favorite AI what are the top 10 messy engineering problems that might yield to a billion dollars worth of AI compute and how they might change the world. Quantum computing, fusion power, lightweight solid-state batteries, other new materials, catalysts, drugs. Strange times.

10% chance of annihilation, please give us $100b in an IPO to proceed as quickly as possible, risk it for the biscuit.

Gary Marcus pivoting from “current AI is a dead end“ to, “it’s too powerful and risky, and I predicted it all along”

"your tech is eavesdropping on you for marketing purposes" has crossed from "false conspiracy theory" to "true and concerning"

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