no such thing as a little healthy recession, when you push the big valuation marble to the top of the hill it usually overshoots when it starts to roll down

This is strategy and economics 101, those who control a bottleneck and manufactured (or inherent) scarcity get the profits, not the ones who create value in a highly competitive market. Microsoft and Intel and then Cisco at one point made all the tech profit because they had monopolies on parts of the stack/value chain, even as PC manufacturers and app developers did massive heavy lifting and innovation. It’s possible that LLM frontier models will be like airlines, hugely capital intensive and hit-driven, but quickly copied, intensely competitive and not highly profitable in the long run.

(1 kW and Gemma are like a single PC, so I don't know what it proves except they can do any stupid thing Musk might do)

Dude makes an air hockey robot - X (formerly Twitter)

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